Keep an eye on inflation when you invest
Like the boy who cried, “wolf,” experts’ warnings of inflation
have been largely ignored over the last decade. Now, with the recent spike
in fuel prices and rising interest rates, people are starting to take notice
again. Inflation, even at modest levels, can seriously reduce real investment
return. Is your portfolio structured to succeed in periods of inflation? Consider
these fresh ways to combat an old foe.
- TIPS. A popular investment vehicle used to battle inflation has actually
been around since 1997. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are
U.S. government bonds that adjust payout rates in accordance with rises in
the Consumer Price Index (CPI). So if you have a low tolerance for risk, but
seek protection from rising interest rates, this might be the bond for you.
- Corporate bonds. Another option is the inflation-indexed corporate bond.
Patterned after the popular TIPS program, these bonds also offer rates that
move in tandem with the CPI. The interest rates are higher than TIPS, but they
carry the credit risk of the company that issues them.
- Tax issues. There are tax issues to consider as well. Inflation-indexed
corporate bonds are fully taxable. TIPS, on the other hand, are exempt from
state and local tax. Corporate bonds hold a slight edge in that interest rate
increases are reflected immediately in the monthly payment. TIPS, instead,
reflect rate increases in the principal balance received at maturity. What’s
more, these increases are immediately taxable, even though you have to wait
until redemption to reap the extra earnings. This timing difference could make
TIPS better suited for your IRA or 401(k), where interest is not taxed until
withdrawn.
- I bonds. If your portfolio is in a taxable account, you might consider I
bonds instead of TIPS. I bonds are U.S. savings bonds with inflation protection.
Like TIPS, I bonds are exempt from state and local income tax. But, unlike
TIPS, federal income tax can be deferred until the bond is redeemed.
- CDs. Even an old standby, the bank certificate of deposit, is getting into
the inflation protection game. Some banks now offer CDs with a fluctuating
interest rate. Keep in mind that these investments are fully taxable, and they
offer an initial interest rate that is lower than a conventional CD. But during
periods of swelling interest rates, these CDs will return higher overall income.
- Laddering. Even if your bank does not offer flexible CDs, you can still
protect yourself by laddering your CD portfolio with a range of maturity dates.
Then, if interest rates climb dramatically, you won’t be tied up with
one low-yielding certificate.
- Inflation can threaten your investment return at any time, so stay alert for
ways to protect your portfolio.